About the CSW Darts Data Desk
The CSW Darts Data Desk is the news desk of CSW Darts, run by CSW STATS LTD. It reports what the numbers say about professional darts. It is not connected to the PDC or to any player.
How stories are made
Our reports after a night's darts are written automatically by our software from the published scores and averages, and go up without a person reading them first. Longer pieces, such as the season tables, are prepared by the desk from the same numbers. Nobody pays to appear in a story.
If no result stands out, there is no report that day.
How we work out a chance
The two players' averages give a chance of winning one leg. The bigger the gap, the bigger the favourite: level averages make it 50-50, and a five-point gap makes it about 62-38. We then work out the chance of reaching the match's winning number of legs first, or of sets at the World Championship, where each set is counted as first to three legs.
The chance is worked out after the match, from what each player actually averaged. It is not a prediction and not a betting tip. It answers one question: given how the two players scored, how likely was this result?
We leave out events the sum does not suit: the World Grand Prix (double start), the World Masters (a different set format) and the World Cup (pairs).
Is it luck?
Not all of it. An average counts every dart the same, so it cannot see who took their doubles when the leg was on the line, or who threw first. Winning more than your averages predict is part luck and part nerve.
Mistakes
If something here is wrong, tell us at contact@cswdarts.co.uk and we will correct it.
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CSWStats is an independent site. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to the Professional Darts Corporation, and event names are used only to describe the events themselves. We do not sell tickets and we take no commission on any link here.